Shocks can be rare in flat racing but across 237 years of the Epsom Derby, we have seen some high priced horses coming through to take the trophy. 100/1 Aboyeur holds the record for the longest odds winner while, in more recent times, 1998’s High Rise finished first past the post at a decent 20/1.
There is value in the Each Way markets too as some lucky punters found out in 1989 when Terimon finished second to Nashwan at a mighty 500/1. But what about 2017; can any horse emerge from the list of rank outsiders to give us some top value?
Aidan O’Brien’s Exemplar may be moving in the wrong direction, having slipped from around 20/1 to 50/1 with Unibet but this top trainer simply doesn’t waste his time entering poor quality horses. The market always shifts in the wake of the Dante Stakes at York which is seen as the main trial for the Derby and it’s fair to say that Exemplar performed poorly and certainly deserved to drift but could there be value in those 50/1 odds?
Prior to that run in the Dante, O’Brien’s horse had enjoyed three previous outings, finishing no worse than third. That record includes a single victory in Galway in September 2016 and while this is clearly a step up in class, an improvement in the soft ground could also prove helpful to a horse who could, at the very least, provide an each way option.
Another horse to drift in the wake of the Dante Stakes, albeit to a less dramatic degree was Rekindling who finished fourth after being widely tipped to win it. From a price of around 14/1, you can now back Joseph O’Brien’s charge at 20/1 with Unibet in the Investec Derby outrights and with two wins from four outings, that’s a reasonable record, suggesting we shouldn’t rule Rekindling out altogether.
Two of those victories came in larger fields with the 3 year old finishing first out of 13 runners in September last year. Of course, the Epsom Derby represents a much greater challenge and Rekindling did seem to freeze on the big occasion last time out but that 20/1 price could yet shorten ahead of the off.
Under the Radar
Another Aidan O’Brien horse being lined up for the Derby is Capri and once again, this is a Colt who is drifting in the market. Currently, you can get 20/1 in Unibet’s outrights and with three wins in six meetings to date, that’s another record that demands attention.
The worry from punters’ point of view would be Capri’s recent record which has seen him finish no better than third in small fields in his last three outings. Prior to that, however, there were three straight victories and like Exemplar who was mentioned at the top of this preview, O’Brien is unlikely to enter a horse that he doesn’t feel is in with a chance.
Check all the latest news updates for confirmed entries but, for long shots in this year’s Investec Derby betting, any of these three could give you a run for your money.