Flat Racing doesn’t tend to give us too many shock results when directly compared to the National Hunt. And, when you look at the Derby’s jumping counterpart the Grand National, it barely registers as a surprise any more when a horse comes home first at 33/1 or above.
There have, however, been a strong set of high odds winners in the 237 year history of this race so, you may well find some value in the market for the 2017 Investec Derby as some lucky punters did here.
1913: The joint longest priced winner in the entire history of the Epsom Derby was 1913’s Aboyeur at a mighty 100/1. This wasn’t a race without controversy however as the 6/4 favourite Craganour was disqualified after coming home in first place.
Two other horses have matched this 100/1 figure – Jeddah in 1989 and Signorinetta in 1908 but we haven’t seen anything touch three figures in over 100 years. In the modern day, a 100/1 winner of the Investec Derby seems unlikely but there have been more recent instances of high odds victories.
2000 and 2013: In the new Millennium, seven of the 17 Derby Winners have either been joint favourites or favourites in their own right. As for the longest priced victors, 2000’s Sindaar and Ruler of the World in 2013 both came home at a healthy 7/1.
The latter horse became the first since the great Shergar to complete the double of the Chester Vase and the Derby and, as Ryan Moore’s mount came home, the 5/4 favourite Dawn Approach trailed in last of the 12 runners.
1974: Snow Knight, at 50/1 is the longest priced winner of the Epsom Derby since 1970. Trained by Peter Nelson and ridden by Brian Taylor, the horse led from the front and came home with a comfortable margin of two lengths from Imperial Prince.
1973: It seems that you could get much better value in the 1970’s as, just a year prior to Snow Knights’ triumph, the French bred Morston came in at an excellent 25/1. Morston has been described as the worst Derby winner since the Second World War which seems a little unkind seeing that this was his second win in two races and he retired through injury shortly afterwards.
1989: Although not an actual winner of the Derby, punters who had taken an Each Way bet on Terimon would have enjoyed some serious celebrations. The horse came home in second place behind Nashwan earning some lucky winners a profit at a mighty 500/1.
Will there be any value in this year’s Investec Derby? It’s already an open field with Cliffs of Moher favourite with Unibet at 7/2 so we won’t see anyone dip below the Even Money point. We don’t, as yet, have a 100/1 horse that could match the all-time record but of those horses to have hit double figures, Dante Stakes winner Permian at 12/1 is attracting the most interest.
Will we see a high priced winner in 2017? Time will tell but there are lots of interesting contenders in an open declaration.